TREASURIES-Rise in Europe as crisis solution hopes fade
* Credit rating agency Moody’s said it may slap a negative
outlook on France’s Aaa credit rating in the next three months
if the country fails to make progress on crucial fiscal and
economic reforms.* Meanwhile, risk assets languished in negative territory
for a second day after German officials on Monday cautioned
against expectations of a quick solution to the region’s
two-year-old debt crisis. Equity futures pointed to
a lower opening on Wall Street.* But traders said that with the United States in earnings
season, positive surprises could help equity markets rally and
in turn weigh on Treasuries later in the session. Goldman Sachs
and Coca Cola are among those reporting on
Tuesday, with Apple due after the market close.* “Analysts have ratcheted down their expectations, so the
potential is that they come to the upside and if we see a string
of those it could give a bid to the equity market and we’ll see
fixed income fade on the back of that,” a trader said.* Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields were 4 basis
points lower at 2.12 percent, with 30-year yields
down 2 basis points at 3.11 percent.* The 10-year note is now hovering close to support around
2.266 percent, the 38.2 percent retracement of a July to
September rally in the maturity. More support is clustered near
2.3 percent to 2.31 percent, an area containing a few daily
highs hit in late August.* The Federal Reserve will buy between $2.25 and $2.75
billion of Treasuries on Tuesday as part of “Operation Twist”,
the central bank’s latest easing programme.* Barclays Capital strategists said a flattening in the
10/30s portion of the U.S. Treasury curve on Monday may have
been exacerbated by the looming purchase operation and expected
the curve to resteepen coming out of it.* “The belly of the curve has cheapened significantly over
the past few weeks and has room to richen if risk aversion stays
high,” the bank’s strategists said.
-
megmmorales posted this